Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 4.747817 5.152390 5.590464 6.102702 6.688620 7.342002 8.131513
2025-03-16 4.075258 4.626233 5.265869 6.073845 7.082857 8.323424 10.000601
2025-03-23 3.736857 4.376098 5.155574 6.197834 7.590841 9.445727 12.211918
2025-03-30 3.374176 4.033779 4.865142 6.021593 7.644621 9.939293 13.638569
2025-04-06 3.094778 3.760166 4.621124 5.857766 7.665511 10.356958 15.012102
2025-04-13 2.872501 3.537155 4.416208 5.713734 7.678916 10.743507 16.404125
2025-04-20 2.711595 3.380673 4.283847 5.651906 7.796306 11.298328 18.223462
2025-04-27 2.634898 3.330658 4.291620 5.790800 8.236775 12.459237 21.558175
2025-05-04 2.566738 3.285843 4.300354 5.927718 8.687504 13.722868 25.600050
2025-05-11 2.464075 3.184401 4.216995 5.908949 8.866105 14.506925 28.867820
2025-05-18 2.368866 3.087384 4.132299 5.877928 9.015408 15.258814 32.409397
2025-05-25 2.249531 2.948467 3.974753 5.711908 8.894711 15.419158 34.364526
2025-06-01 2.148243 2.836231 3.859092 5.620304 8.930053 15.991625 38.155958
2025-06-08 2.068840 2.753448 3.785475 5.596987 9.101410 16.937551 44.015174
2025-06-15 2.024745 2.721016 3.788408 5.706832 9.555417 18.699626 54.797389
2025-06-22 1.930143 2.606139 3.650994 5.550979 9.432744 18.949077 59.362564
2025-06-29 1.844968 2.501934 3.525080 5.405843 9.314550 19.187273 64.277833
2025-07-06 1.769451 2.409430 3.413338 5.278045 9.218180 19.468047 69.931121
2025-07-13 1.712851 2.344152 3.343269 5.223128 9.278547 20.232683 79.891356
2025-07-20 1.692190 2.334536 3.365640 5.346447 9.767618 22.493578 105.950373
2025-07-27 1.672012 2.324501 3.386289 5.467844 10.274003 25.047832 145.339241
2025-08-03 1.630168 2.277510 3.340216 5.451212 10.435670 26.460284 180.401067
2025-08-10 1.589070 2.230067 3.290836 5.423718 10.566082 27.823218 225.309918